Interesting lessons we learn ... I'd been watching the various currency pairs for the past three weeks and happily assuming that it was entirely representative of market activity. Boy, was I ever wrong! I have now spent the last 5 days watching the currency pairs, almost without exception - dither!
Look at the hourly charts with me:
EUR/JPY:
Here, it's only today that things have shown any sign of activity. I've probably missed the boat on that downtrend, though.
And the EUR/USD while it's showing some signs of activity, has also decided to hover in a 10-pip range between 1.355 and 1.365 since it hit intermediate support on August 28th (of course, I could be reading that wrong and it's actually a 100 pip Move):
I think I've spotted a sweet trade on the USD/JPY: On the hourly chart, it looks as though we're in for a nice little downswing to 115.45 or so.
Confirming on the 15-minute, we see that the trend is bearish and the parabolic SAR is above the candles, indicating that it should continue to head downward for a while ...
I got into this trade just now, selling 10 micro-mini lots at 115.82, with the stop at 116.10 and the stop at 115.50.
Of course, it's now 1 a.m. on the 5th, so maybe it's just tiredness that makes this look like a valid trade: I've already managed to lose 7 pips ... it's now a $6.04 loss so far on this trade ... I wonder if it will ever go back down to my target 115.5-ish range!
I'll look at it in the morning once I get a few hours of sleep. :)
Cheers,
Maya
Wednesday, September 5, 2007
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